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Hypothetical math
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Posted by NJ-PA Don [Email] (#1221) [Profile/Gallery] (more from NJ-PA Don) on Wed, 23 Jul 2008 07:48:51 Share Post by Email
In Reply to: The board's opinion - go newer or stick it out?, AtlGator, Wed, 23 Jul 2008 03:40:09
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It is almost always cheaper to keep a car running than buy a newer one.

Hypothetical math of sunk cost analysis with liquidation - run the numbers for five years and compare total costs from this point on:

$100 per month is $6000 for maintenance minus liquidation return of say $1000 is $5000 out-of-pocket for 01.

$50 per month maintenance plus purchase price (say $14K) is $17k minus liquidataion return (say $5000) is $9000 for the ‘05.

Comparison to a leased or purchase Honda is also insightful, but the keep-it-going scenario almost always wins. That is why I ran my beloved 9000CSE to 195K miles before emotions and the numbers ran together and I reluctantly dumped it for an 03 Linear wagon.

B Millar’s numbers look worse than yours, so you may be at a more reliable (repeatable?) point on the curve. Therefore, the fear factor may overcome any analysis.

After all of the advice and analysis - Go with the gut and let us know how it turns out.


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