Hurricane Models..... - Saab General Bulletin Board - Saabnet.com
The banner above is an advertisment - if it asks you to download software, please ignore.
Site News -
[General |
Members |
C900 |
9000 |
NG900 & OG93 |
93 |
95 |
NG95 |
99 |
Sonett |
Vintage Models |
Clubs |
Other Cars |
FAQs |
Gifts |
Member Photo Galleries |
Member Directory |
Classifieds |
Manuals |
*Buddy Registry |
*Mileage Registry |
Polls |
What's New |
Raffle |
Photo of the Month |
Sponsors]
[Main General Bulletin Board | BBFAQ |
Prev by Date | Next by Date | Post Followup ]
Member Login / Signup - Members see fewer ads. - Latest Member Gallery Photos
Hurricane Models.....
Posted by TKC (more from TKC) on Thu, 11 Sep 2008 06:41:13
In Reply to: Ike coming our way, Houstonsaabs, Wed, 10 Sep 2008 20:56:00
Members do not see ads below this line. - Help Keep This Site Online - Signup
hurricane track, growth models are good for about 48-72 hours. The problems with any weather model are various but lack of data input is one and the range of time and spatial scales the model has to cover is another.
Having said that, weather forecasts are reasonably good for about 72 hours. Anything more than that is a bit of a stretch. Many hurricane models take inputs from global weather models so you compound the complexity and errors.
Here is a link to outputs of some good dynamical hurricane models. The GFDL model is the "best" US operational model for hurricane. NOGAPS is Navy's operational global weather model but is reasonable for hurricanes. UKMET is the global weather model from the UK Meteorological Office. The CMC is from our northern neighbor, i.e. Canada. GFS is US's global weather model. NHC is the official forecast from the US National Hurricane Center, and is usually a consensus of various operational models and probably with some human input from climatological models.
Strong hurricane level wind certainly can do lots of damage, but WATER (from heavy rain, flood, storm surges) usually is the main cause of damages from a hurricane. Remember, water is roughly 1000 times denser than air so figure that in when you drive in fast moving flood water.
Houstonsaabs, go inland, away from streams/rivers and low ground, stay inside a reinforced concrete building and stay away from the ground floor and windows if possible. Keep everyone safe, oh, don't forget the Saab.
posted by 12.171.1...
Hurricane/Track Models
Posts in this Thread:
Members do not see ads below this line. - Help Keep This Site Online - Signup
Post a Followup
No Site Registration is Required to Post - Site Membership is optional (Member Features List), but helps to keep the site online
for all Saabers. If the site helps you, please consider helping the site by becoming a member.
StateOfNine.com
|
SaabClub.com
|
Jak Stoll Performance
|
M Car Covers
|
Ad Available
|
Random Saabnet.com Member Gallery Photos (Click Image)
This is a moderated bulletin board - Posting is a privilege, not a right.
Unsolicited commercial postings are not allowed (no spam). Please, no For Sale or Wanted postings, SERIOUSLY.
Classifieds are to be listed in The Saab Network Classifieds pages.
This is a problem solving forum for over 250,000 Saab owners, so expect to see
problems discussed here even though our cars are generally very reliable. This is not an anything goes
type of forum. Saabnet.com has been a moderated forum since 1988. For usage guidelines, see the
Saabnet.com Mission and Purpose Page. Please remember that you are
not anonymous. Site Contact | Site Donations | Other Sites by SP -
Poverty2Prosperity.org | Run Club Menlo Park | ScreenBot
Site Members do not see red text instructions, bottom of the page anchor ads, or box ads.
Click here to see all
the Site Membership Benefits!