In Reply to: The cause of much doom and gloom...., Mike Lynch [Profile/Gallery] , Sat, 26 Mar 2005 13:30:54

I realize that just as Mike believes in DIC doom & gloomers, others believe in a conspiracy by CR against SAAB's. Well, until someone has better numbers, per their latest reliablity ratings....
I'm making some assumptions, how valid, I don't know.
I'm assuming that "Ignition" problems were DIC's. They could be something else, can't think of too many other possiblities. Actually some survey respondents may have included DIC failures in the "Electrical" category, which is several times worse reliability than Ignition, but those could be as simple as SID's.
I'm also assuming that DIC failures don't repeat. I know this is false for some on this board, but they have to be a small minority.
With these assumptions....
When your 9-5 is 1-1/2 to 2-1/2 years old (i.e., 2002 models for the spring 2004 (the latest) survey), you have a 2~5% chance of ignition problems.
When 2-1/2 to 3-1/2 old, 7~14.3% chance (the 2~5% chance when 1-1/2 to 2-1/2 years old, plus the 5~9.3% chance when 2-1/2 to 3-1/2 years old).
By the time the car is 4-1/2 to 5-1/2 years old, between 17 and 35% will experience DIC failure.
Ed
2002 Aero SW
DIC failure when 1-1/2 years old, with 25,000 miles

posted by 66.84.139...

• The cause of much doom and gloom...., Mike Lynch , Sat, 26 Mar 2005 13:30:54
  • There were no sludge gloomers...., Mike Lynch , Mon, 28 Mar 2005 13:18:28
  • I don't see Corolla and Sentra owners carrying spares, Vlad, Mon, 28 Mar 2005 08:15:35
  • per Consumer Reports, Aero'ed, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 18:38:35 <-- Viewing This Message
    • Good numbers.... Conspiracy theories.., Mike Lynch , Mon, 28 Mar 2005 13:14:10
      • comparable cars, Aero'ed, Tue, 29 Mar 2005 09:30:45
    • Re: per Consumer Reports, larmen, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 18:48:59
  • Re: The cause of much doom and gloom...., Dale, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 15:38:59
  • There's a bigger part failure concern in all cars..., Greg W, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 09:35:40
  • Saab Principles of Customer Relations, DW, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 08:07:08
  • the devil works at Monica Saab!, aero_k, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 22:03:43
  • Re: The cause of much doom and gloom...., Andrej, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 19:43:37
    • Re: The cause of much doom and gloom...., chris, Sun, 1 May 2005 00:19:30
    • That's not what people are saying, tincob, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 20:09:24
      • Re: That's not what people are saying, Andrej, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 21:03:02
        • You can say all you want,, No.9, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 06:52:43
          • Re: You can say all you want,, Andrej, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 11:43:18
            • Re: You can say all you want,, dmz789, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 13:26:01
            • Re: You can say all you want,, larmen, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 12:06:50
          • Cheaper to pay few funeral expenses than recall . n/m, all saabs, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 09:36:06
          • Re: You can say all you want,, larmen, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 09:14:02
  • Mine die after I told other to carry a spare., ckpaden, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 19:43:16
  • Add me to the list of doom and gloomers (very long), tincob, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 18:45:15
  • I beg to differ, SWEDECAR , Sat, 26 Mar 2005 17:13:06
    • For me it's BMW coils....., Mike Lynch , Sat, 26 Mar 2005 17:36:29
  • Sounds like you haven't experienced a failure, Kirk, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 16:51:20
    • Not such a great idea, Louis, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 18:33:33
  • Re: The cause of much doom and gloom...., jj, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 15:48:38
  • Oversimplification of the Saab DI, devil is in details, dtech, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 15:26:49
  • It's not all that bad, Stephen Goldberger, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 14:51:58
    • Oh yeah? My 9000CD had two DIC failures. . . . n/m, JPW, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 20:08:07
  • Not in agreement Mike, Louis, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 14:30:02
    • Re: Not in agreement Mike, penelope, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 10:41:16
      • Re: Not in agreement Mike, Louis, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 13:54:53
        • Re: Not in agreement Mike, larmen, Sun, 27 Mar 2005 15:38:43
  • Re: The cause of much doom and gloom...., ngd, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 13:48:20
    • Re: The cause of much doom and gloom...., HJS, Sat, 26 Mar 2005 14:28:10
  • Ooops...nm, Mike Lynch , Sat, 26 Mar 2005 13:33:44

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