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Posted by Jeff Malin [Email] (more from Jeff Malin) on Wed, 18 Dec 2002 15:47:28 Share Post by Email
In Reply to: You get a B-. Your answer was good, but it answered, J, Mon, 16 Dec 2002 23:23:19
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Indeed, my reply covered several topics and I meant to post it higher up. But a B- is fine in my book ;)

Here's the problem with printing more money, along with another anecdote. Increasing the money supply will simply devalue the currency, increasing prices, otherwise known as inflation. When explorers from Spain set out to discover gold in the New World, they got much more than they bargained for, but they did find some gold to bring back. They didn't get quite what they wanted though. Gold was their currency, and by bringing back more gold, they simply increased the gold supply and caused devaluation of everyone's gold holdings, I.E. inflation. What happened? Spain didn't suddenly start producing more goods and services because of the gold they brought back - they just increased the supply of money.

The measure of our economic growth is Real GDP Growth. This is equal to Nominal GDP Growth minus inflation. Causing inflation will not help our economy, it will hurt it. The Fed wants inflation at nearly zero and will not do anything to raise it, for good reason.

In response to the question of what happens if the fed lowers interest rates to zero and there is still no increas in GDP, well, quite simply it is not going to happen unless, as I mentioned in my past post, our population stops expanding, and our technology stops increasing. These are the long-run determinants of economic growth and unless these both stop or go negative, any other fluctuation is simply the business cycle, which will naturally resolve itself. After a long enough period of recession, all the economy's excess capacity is absorbed, and we then have a capacity shortage. This spurs investment which knocks down unemplyment and starts us on a recovery.

And if you think for one second that I have figured any of this out for myself, you are dead wrong. Go to the link below for the excellent online course materials from my Principles of Macro class, and specifically check out Section 7, Business Cycles

posted by 128.138.22...

http://spot.colorado.edu/~kaplan/econ2020/econ2020.html


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